One of the easiest match to predict. Spartak is speeding up - this is obvious. Brazilians start play well and all team looking better. In the last match only goalkeeper safe his team from total destroy. Outstanding performance 18(9) (all shot (goal shot)) - the best in this tour in the league. Yes, team conceded goals in every game, but most of them were lucky goals. Saturn have worst start in the history - only 3 points after 5 tours. They are simply awful. I can not see reasons for improvement. They need new blood and must completely renew squad. Team average age is above 28 - this is oldest team in the league. All in all. Nowadays Spartak - powerful team, and weak opponent like Saturn should not be a barrier. Such teams only as training and quantity of goals must be true.
Both team in the not good condition. Lokomotiv played very bad, without any team play and only Aliev looked good and scored 5 from 7 team goals. Tarasov another good midfielder miss this match after red card in the last game - this is appreciable loss for the team. Team attack with 3 clown called forward - Sychev, Odemwingie and Traore - all three looked very bad and only Sychev may be useful as free kick ball carrier for Aliev. Early start adversely affect on CSKA play, they have unconvincing games and won 3 games: against two league newcomers and average team like Amkar. CSKA have great issues in the attacking line. Necid - slow tower - only perfect lob or pass may help him score, but this pass big problem for CSKA today. Krasic probably thinking about his new team and played with 30% of his potential. Honda have good press, but not so good on the field. All in all. Hard match for predict, but with all their problem CSKA looking better. Only free kick by Aliev (probably miss this match) may change all match, but Akinfeev in the net give hope to CSKA.
Both team in the not good condition. Lokomotiv played very bad, without any team play and only Aliev looked good and scored 5 from 7 team goals. Tarasov another good midfielder miss this match after red card in the last game - this is appreciable loss for the team. Team attack with 3 clown called forward - Sychev, Odemwingie and Traore - all three looked very bad and only Sychev may be useful as free kick ball carrier for Aliev. Early start adversely affect on CSKA play, they have unconvincing games and won 3 games: against two league newcomers and average team like Amkar. CSKA have great issues in the attacking line. Necid - slow tower - only perfect lob or pass may help him score, but this pass big problem for CSKA today. Krasic probably thinking about his new team and played with 30% of his potential. Honda have good press, but not so good on the field. All in all. Hard match for predict, but with all their problem CSKA looking better. Only free kick by Aliev (probably miss this match) may change all match, but Akinfeev in the net give hope to CSKA.
Tomsk really solid team in this season - 8 points and 2 of them with big clubs. Good organized team where each player knows his place on the field. Solid defence, but not so strong attacking line. Zenit still without loss after 5 games and with no spectacular, but good football. They playing without striker (poor Kerzhakov not count), but with powerful attacking midfielder trio - Danny, Bystrov and Lazovic. Their quick attack both beautiful and deadly, and this attack must play main role in this match. Tomsk defence looked solid, but slow - the big and tall defenders looking not good against quick and technical attackers. All in all. Fast Zenit must win this match, and only bad luck may prevent their victory.
Terek placed above Spartak from Moscow - this sounds unusually, but such are the facts.
Team from Grozni showed us good looked football and today on the second place in the leafue with good 5-1 goal difference. Attacking tandem Bracamonte - Asildarov the big power and danger for all teams. The main team problem - instability, even in one game they had disastrous moments.
Spartak have a bad start and niw they must play their best. Team always played attacking mind football and have huge amount goals attempt. Brasilians - the main power little by little finding their game and soon we can see the Big Spartak.
All in all. Terek traditionally played bad against Spartak and this match must be not the exception, and weak Terek defense must do a couple mistakes. Spartak win is clear for me and for the value -1 AH.
Outsider clash and probably we can't see many attack and spectacular game.
Saturn in the last tour held out against current champion, but this is was sad game and both team looked awful. I doubt whether Saturn may score many goals, but one goal - logical result.
Samara - worst team in the league, but in the game against Terek we could see gleam of hope for the team. Sometimes they was danger and looked not so bad, but for me this is more Terek bad play than Samara merit.
Solid Saturn defence and both team weak attack lines - the under 2 looking good. The other good bet for me - draw and probably scoreless.
The second leg of the CL 1/4 where Russians must do impossible in the game against strong Inter.
CSKA Moscow - this is clear underdog. The main news - Krasic miss, this is key player for the CSKA, without him we can't see speed attack and long free kick by Honda may be only danger for the Inter nets. Necid may be not bad forward, but for me, his style of play very passive - without speed, only hope for the good lob and head shot. Defence - today looked not so solid as in the previous years - Ignashevich (central defender) not so good and played with many mistakes. Probably only keeper - Akinfeev the strongest player, but last match in the domestic league shown that he's also not in good form.
Inter fully dominated in the first match and could be won with big advantage. They have good balanced squad and for me each player better then the same in the CSKA.
All in all. CSKA must attack in this game and if they attack the defence will be more weaker. I can't imagine how many goals Inter may score in this situation, but this number may be horrible for CSKA. With all due respect for CSKA the Inter victory clear for me and probably with big advantage.
Central match in the fourth tour - Moscow derby where Lokomotiv receive guests - Dynamo.
Loko have two loses in the three games and this is not result that many supporters expect. But
team looked bad. Only Aliev - Loko newcomer - noticeable on the pitch. They played without global plan or their global plan - free kick with Aliev outstanding shot. But this tactic not good at all.
Dynamo - good organized team with strong midfield. They played three good match against strong
team with big ambitions and only bad luck prejudice the success in the all three. Quick flank, accurate formation and good performer knowing their task - this is modern Dynamo - quick, deadly in the attack and solid in the defence.
Loko fail in start and today match must prolong their unsuccessful run.
Champion against average and relegation fighter team.
Saturn - team with veterans in the starting line. They already played best matches years ago and today can't oppose anything except experience. Team show faded football without any flash.
Rubin have unplanned draw in the last tour on the home ground and today must win. Their overall class much better and on this fact they not without problem, not easy, but must win this game.
All in all. I don't understand why odds for Rubin win so high. Rubin looked as the bore team, but the same team with same bore play won chamionship two years ago. Yes, Saturn would be play very defensive, but Rubin may score at least one.
Fourth tour and we may estimate team strength. In this match league newcomer Sibir must play against Amkar and show us a lot more for the good result.
Amkar have not bad start and only 1-1 goal difference. They have few misses but not so important. On the home ground they always strong.
Sibir - newcomer and today probably worst team in the league. They played bad 3 matches and scored only 1 goal, but conceded huge 5 goals. Team without team-play - not good passes, not good defence and not good play. Only one player - team captain Medvedev looked not so bad. But he surely miss this match and this is do Sibir mission impossible.
All in all. The clear game. Sibir don't have any chances in this match. The other good bet is under - Amkar not so strong in the attack line and I can't see how they score more then 2 goals.
Pick: Spartak M. Result: 0-1 Stake: 10/10 Odds: 2.25 Bookmaker: EXPEKTvCash: No
Posted: Mar 13, 2010, 12:45
First tour and already derby - Moscow derby between Spartak and Dynamo. Nowadays Dynamo - completely another team. They have big reinforcement from retired Moskva and returned Semshov. But team have weak attack - Voronin, Smolov and Kokorin - thats all. I think team wiil be play same football as in the last season - syrupy with quick counter-attack. KOlodin likelihood miss this match. Spartak have best attack in the league - Welliton and Alex. Also they have newcomer - Ari and I expect him with Welliton in the today match. Marek Suchy must strengthening defence - probably weakest line. All in all. Derby always derby, but Spartak attacking potential must play his role. And what is moreб Spartak could't won Dynamo in the last four game, and start of the season good reason for the start new victory series.
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